CFTC Event Contract Filings Tracker: Every New Prediction Market Contract, Week by Week

761 new event-contract filings reached the CFTC in the last four weeks.

Every prediction-market contract an exchange files with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, from Kalshi and Polymarket US to the newest entrants, counted week by week from the CFTC’s public filings list.

Source: CFTC Trading Organization Products list, filings since Jan 1, 2025 (latest Oct 9, 2026). Checked Oct 12, 2026, 10:02 AM ET. Updated weekly.

By Arthur Angelo, PredictionScout Research · Updated Oct 12, 2026, 10:02 AM ET

761filings, last 4 weeks
2,529filings in 2026 so far
1,500same dates in 2025
15exchanges filing since 2025

Key findings

  • 761 event-contract filings in four weeks. From Sep 12, 2026 to Oct 9, 2026, 9 exchanges filed 761 new or amended event contracts with the CFTC. Most active: Underdog Exchange 237, Kalshi 173, Polymarket US 106, Ludlow Exchange 75.
  • 2,529 so far in 2026, against 1,500 over the same dates in 2025 and 1,642 in all of 2025.
  • Kalshi leads for the year. Kalshi accounts for 677 of 2,529 event filings this year (27%); Polymarket US for 334. 12 exchanges filed at least one event contract in 2026.
  • Mostly sports. By keyword, sports 52%, other / unclassified 30%, economy & markets 6%, politics & government 5%, weather & climate 2%, culture & entertainment 2%, crypto 2% of 2026 filings. (Keyword matching is rough; check the CSV.)
  • Almost all self-certified. Exchanges certify most event contracts themselves under CFTC Regulation 40.2; the CFTC does not approve them in advance. 150 filings since 2025 were later withdrawn.

Filings per week

Event-contract filings at the CFTC per week, top exchangesEvent-contract filings at the CFTC per week, top exchanges0306090120150Dec 30, 24Mar 31, 25Jun 30, 25Sep 29, 25Jan 5, 26Apr 6, 26Jul 6, 26Oct 5, 26KalshiUnderdog ExchangePolymarket USLudlow ExchangeEvent-contract filings per weekCFTC Trading Organization Products; PredictionScout
Event-contract filings per week (Monday to Sunday) for the four exchanges with the most filings in 2026.

By exchange

ExchangeLast 4 weeks20262025First filing since 2025
Kalshi
KalshiEX LLC · code KEX
1736771,414Jan 8, 2025
Underdog Exchange
Underdog Exchange DCM, Inc. (earlier 2026 filings under this code use the name Aristotle) · code ARST
2375480Jul 15, 2026
Polymarket US
QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US · code QCEX
1063345Sep 30, 2025
ForecastEx (Interactive Brokers)
ForecastEx LLC · code FEX
11139156Jan 1, 2025
Ludlow Exchange
Ludlow Exchange, LLC · code LEX
752440Jul 23, 2026
Gemini
Gemini Titan, LLC · code GMNI
4219925Dec 11, 2025
DKeX (Railbird)
Railbird Exchange, LLC d/b/a DKeX · code REX
661080May 22, 2026
ProphetX
ProphetX LLC · code PROPHX
25970Jun 14, 2026
CME
Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. · code CME
07720Nov 19, 2025
Rothera
Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC · code ROTHDCM
26802Feb 19, 2025
OG.com Markets
North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. d/b/a OG.com Markets · code CDNA
02216Feb 3, 2025
ICE Futures U.S.
ICE Futures U.S., Inc. · code ICE US
040Jul 16, 2026
NYMEX
New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. · code NYMEX
002Nov 19, 2025
CBOT
Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc. · code CBOT
001Nov 19, 2025
COMEX
Commodity Exchange, Inc. · code COMEX
001Nov 19, 2025

Names are as each exchange identifies itself in its own recent filing cover letters. The CFTC list shows only a short code.

By topic, 2026

Topic (keyword match)FilingsLast 4 weeks
Sports1,325399
Other / unclassified763221
Economy & markets15567
Politics & government12937
Weather & climate606
Culture & entertainment5729
Crypto402

Latest 40 filings

DateExchangeContract (links to the CFTC filing)TopicStatus
Oct 9, 2026KalshiWill a <category> hurricane cross <region> <time period>?Weather & climateCertified
Oct 9, 2026KalshiWill a Category 1 hurricane cross Southeast Florida <time period>?Weather & climateCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLSPREAD-KCBUF-26NOV2026Other / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXWill more than 3.5 games be played in Cloud9's Play-In Stage Round 1 match at the 2026 League of Legends World Championship on October 15, 2SportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXLeague of Legends World Championship Total Games ContractsSportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXWill Cloud9 win its Play-In Stage Round 1 match at the 2026 League of Legends World Championship on October 15, 2026?SportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXLeague of Legends World Championship Match Winner ContractsSportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXWill Cloud9 record more than 10 total kills in Game 1 of its Play-In Stage Round 1 match at the 2026 League of Legends World Championship onSportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXLeague of Legends World Championship Statistics ContractsSportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXWill Cloud9 win the 2026 League of Legends World Championship?SportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXLeague of Legends World Championship Futures ContractsSportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXWill Cloud9 win its Play-In Stage Round 1 match at the 2026 League of Legends World Championship on October 15, 2026 by more than 1.5 games?SportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXLeague of Legends World Championship Game Spread ContractsSportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXWill Cloud9 win Game 1 of its Play-In Stage Round 1 match at the 2026 League of Legends World Championship on October 15, 2026?SportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026ProphetXLeague of Legends World Championship Game Winner ContractsSportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLAWARD-MVP-ALLEN-2026SportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLAWARDOther / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLENTITYACHIEVEMENT-COOK-FIRSTTD-26NOV2026Other / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLENTITYACHIEVEMENTOther / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLENTITYSTAT-ALLEN-PASSYDS-26NOV2026Other / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLENTITYSTATOther / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLOUTRIGHT-SB-KC-2026Other / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLSPREADOther / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLOUTRIGHTOther / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLTOTALS-KCBUF-26NOV2026Other / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLTOTALSOther / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLWIN-KCBUF-26NOV2026Other / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026Ludlow Exchange2610-0815-0707-89Other / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 8, 2026Ludlow ExchangeNASCAR PLACEMENTSportsCertified
Oct 8, 2026DKeX (Railbird)PROFOOTBALLWINOther / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 7, 2026GeminiWill {team} win the {year} NBA Western Conference Championship?SportsCertified
Oct 7, 2026GeminiWill {team} win the {year} Laver Cup?SportsWithdrawn
Oct 7, 2026KalshiWill the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM Western Hub be <above/below/exactly/at least/at most/between> <value> <unit> <time pOther / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 7, 2026KalshiWill the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub be <above/below/exactly/at least/at most/between> <value> <unit> <time pOther / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 7, 2026KalshiWill the <measure> power price at <ERCOT power hub> be <above/below/exactly/at least/at most/between> <value> <unit> <time period>?Other / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 7, 2026KalshiWill the all-hours average real-time power price at MISO Indiana Hub be <above/below/exactly/at least/at most/between> <value> <unit> <time Other / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 7, 2026KalshiWill the <measure> power price at <MISO power hub> be <above/below/exactly/at least/at most/between> <value> <unit> <time period>?Other / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 7, 2026KalshiWill the all-hours average real-time power price at CAISO SP-15 Hub be <above/below/exactly/at least/at most/between> <value> <unit> <time pOther / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 7, 2026KalshiWill the <measure> power price at <CAISO power hub> be <above/below/exactly/at least/at most/between> <value> <unit> <time period>?Other / unclassifiedCertified
Oct 7, 2026KalshiWill <person> win <time period> of the Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott bout at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on October 17, 2026?SportsCertified

Download the data

Every event-contract filing since 2025 (CSV)

One row per filing on the CFTC list, with the exchange’s legal name and a link to the filing. Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 with a link back to this page.

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Methodology

  • Source. The CFTC’s Trading Organization Products list (designated contract market product filings), every page dated January 1, 2025 or later.
  • What counts. Filings in the CFTC’s “Event” category, plus filings in other categories whose product name includes “event contract” (some exchanges file sports event contracts under “Financial Instrument”). Rows with status “Withdrawn” are included and shown separately.
  • A filing is not one contract. One filing can certify a single game or a whole class of contracts (for example, every game in a league for a season under Regulation 40.2(d)). Compare filing counts across time, not as a count of markets listed.
  • Dates are the date the CFTC list shows for each filing. Topics come from simple keyword matching on the product name and will mislabel some filings.
  • See also: the regulation tracker (CFTC rulemaking and Congress) and the lawsuit tracker.

Cite this research

Suggested citation: PredictionScout. (2026, October 12). CFTC Event Contract Filings Tracker: Every New Prediction Market Contract, Week by Week. https://predictionscout.com/research/cftc-event-contract-filings-tracker/

For a chart or news story: “Source: PredictionScout analysis of public exchange data (https://predictionscout.com/research/cftc-event-contract-filings-tracker/)”

The data and charts on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 with a link back to this page. Filing data: U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Data sources: prices and volumes come from the public APIs of Kalshi and Polymarket, with filing data from the CFTC. All trademarks belong to their owners. PredictionScout is independent and not affiliated with any exchange. Nothing here is investment, betting, or legal advice.