PredictionScout Score: 7.4 / 10
Kalshi is the most regulated prediction market platform available to US traders. It’s a CFTC-designated contract market — the same federal oversight framework that governs commodity futures exchanges — with fund segregation required by law. For US residents who want to trade on elections, economics, sports, and culture, it’s the clearest choice from a legal and safety standpoint.
It’s not without problems. Withdrawal windows are long, customer support is slow, and tax reporting is barebones. These are real issues that affect real users, and they pull the score down from what the platform’s strengths would otherwise justify.
Here’s what we found.
Last updated: March 2026 | Scoring basis: Public fee schedules, regulatory filings, 100+ user reviews across Trustpilot, BBB, and Reddit, and App Store ratings from 25,000+ reviewers. See our full methodology.
Quick Facts
| Founded | 2020 (New York, NY) |
| Regulation | CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market (DCM) + Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) |
| Available to US residents | Yes — all 50 states (sports markets geofenced in Massachusetts as of Jan 2026) |
| Minimum deposit | $10 |
| Taker fee | 0.07 × C × P × (1−P) — ranges roughly 0.07% to 7% depending on contract price |
| Deposit methods | Bank transfer (free), debit card (2% fee), Apple/Google Pay (2% fee), wire, crypto |
| Withdrawal time | 3–7 business days (ACH to same bank); up to 90 days (ACH to different bank) |
| App ratings | 4.7 iOS (22,000+ reviews) / 4.5 Android (3,100+ reviews) |
| Trustpilot | 2.4 / 5 |
Who Kalshi Is Best For
- US residents who want a fully regulated, federally-overseen prediction market
- Politics and economics traders — Kalshi has the deepest market selection in these categories
- Beginners who want a clean interface and plain-language contract framing
- Traders who value fund safety above all — CFTC fund segregation is the strongest protection available
Who Should Look Elsewhere
- Traders who need fast withdrawals — the 90-day window to a different bank is a serious constraint
- High-volume traders in niche markets — liquidity thins quickly outside the top markets
- Crypto-native users who prefer decentralized infrastructure — Polymarket is built for them
- Massachusetts residents who specifically want sports markets — currently blocked by state injunction
Score Breakdown
| Category | Weight | Score | Weighted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regulatory Status & Fund Safety | 20% | 9.0 | 1.80 |
| Market Selection | 15% | 9.0 | 1.35 |
| Fees & Costs | 15% | 7.0 | 1.05 |
| Liquidity & Execution | 15% | 7.0 | 1.05 |
| User Experience | 10% | 8.0 | 0.80 |
| Withdrawal Experience | 10% | 5.0 | 0.50 |
| Deposit & Funding Options | 5% | 8.0 | 0.40 |
| Tax & Reporting Tools | 5% | 5.0 | 0.25 |
| Customer Support | 5% | 4.0 | 0.20 |
| Composite Score | 100% | 7.40 / 10 |
Category-by-Category Analysis
1. Regulatory Status & Fund Safety — 9.0 / 10
Kalshi is the best-regulated prediction market platform available to US traders. Full stop.
KalshiEX LLC holds a CFTC Designated Contract Market license — the same federal framework that governs CME Group and other major derivatives exchanges. Kalshi Klear LLC is separately registered as a Derivatives Clearing Organization. Customer funds are legally segregated from company operating funds, which means if Kalshi were to shut down tomorrow, your money is protected by CFTC rules, not just a company promise.
Kalshi won a landmark federal court case in 2024 when a district court ruled that its election event contracts were legal under the Commodity Exchange Act. The CFTC appealed, then dropped that appeal in May 2025 following a change in administration. That legal clarity significantly reduces regulatory risk going forward.
One note: in January 2026, a Massachusetts Superior Court issued a preliminary injunction blocking Kalshi from offering sports-based markets to Massachusetts residents. The platform has implemented geofencing to comply. This is a state-level dispute, not a federal one, and doesn’t affect Kalshi’s CFTC standing — but Massachusetts residents should be aware their sports market access is currently limited.
The 1-point deduction from a perfect score reflects that Kalshi, as a relatively young platform, doesn’t yet have the decades-long regulatory track record of established futures exchanges.
2. Market Selection — 9.0 / 10
Kalshi offers the widest market selection of any regulated US prediction market platform. Categories include Sports, Politics, Economics/Financials, Culture, Crypto, Technology, Companies, Health, Climate, and Transportation.
Market types span binary (yes/no), multiple-choice, continuous, and conditional contracts. As of February 2026, active markets included NBA, MMA, boxing, college basketball, NHL, soccer, Federal Reserve rate decisions, S&P 500 levels, Bitcoin prices, the Oscars, Grammys, and multiple political outcomes.
The breadth here is genuinely impressive for a regulated US exchange. The CFTC approval battle that Kalshi spent years fighting is what makes this breadth possible — competitors operating under state gaming licenses have narrower scope by design.
The one gap worth noting: liquidity in the long tail of available markets is thin. Kalshi lists a lot of markets. The number of those markets with sufficient two-sided liquidity for comfortable entry and exit is smaller.
3. Fees & Costs — 7.0 / 10
Kalshi uses a probability-weighted fee formula rather than a flat percentage:
- Taker fee: 0.07 × C × P × (1−P), rounded up to the nearest cent
- Maker fee: 0.0175 × C × P × (1−P), rounded up
Where C = number of contracts, P = contract price (0 to 1). The formula creates a parabolic curve — fees peak at 50¢ contracts and decrease toward both extremes. At a 50¢ contract, the maximum taker fee is approximately 1.75¢ per contract. At a 90¢ contract, the taker fee drops to roughly 0.63¢.
Two specific categories get preferential treatment: S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 markets use a halved multiplier (0.035 instead of 0.07), cutting trading costs by 50% compared to standard markets.
What this means in practice for a typical trade:
| Contract Price | Taker Fee Per Contract | Effective Rate |
|---|---|---|
| $0.50 | ~$0.0175 | 3.5% |
| $0.70 | ~$0.0147 | 2.1% |
| $0.90 | ~$0.0063 | 0.7% |
| $0.20 | ~$0.0112 | 5.6% |
The 2% surcharge on debit card and Apple/Google Pay deposits is a real cost that catches new users off guard. Depositing $500 via debit card costs you $10 before you make a single trade. Bank transfer is free but takes 2–4 business days. This is a meaningful friction point for users who want to fund and trade quickly.
Kalshi’s fee revenue in 2025 was $263.5 million — 89% of which came from sports markets. That’s a platform with significant trading volume, which is a positive signal for liquidity in high-volume categories.
4. Liquidity & Execution — 7.0 / 10
Liquidity on Kalshi is highly bifurcated. In the top markets — major elections, key Fed rate decisions, headline sports events — books are deep and spreads are manageable. In the long tail, they’re not.
Typical spreads on Kalshi’s most active markets run 3–8¢. Polymarket, which operates offshore and uses a zero maker-fee model that attracts passive liquidity providers, typically runs 2–5¢ on comparable markets. For most retail traders this difference is small. For higher-frequency or larger-position traders, it adds up.
Kalshi runs a Liquidity Incentive Program for market makers, which has improved depth in priority markets. The platform supports both market orders and limit orders — limit orders are strongly recommended in lower-liquidity markets to avoid unfavorable fills.
The practical guidance: stick to the front-page markets if execution quality matters to you. Treat the long-tail markets as a feature to monitor, not one to trade actively unless you’re comfortable with wide spreads.
5. Withdrawal Experience — 5.0 / 10
This is where Kalshi’s score takes its biggest hit, and the data is consistent across multiple sources.
Withdrawal timelines by method:
- ACH to the same linked bank: 7 business days
- ACH to a different bank: up to 90 days
- Debit card withdrawal: 3 business days after the 3-day deposit clearing window
The 90-day window to a different bank is the most significant issue. This is an anti-fraud measure, but it’s an extreme one. If you deposit via bank A, decide to withdraw to bank B, you may wait three months to access your money. This is not a theoretical problem — it’s a recurring complaint in user reviews.
Kalshi’s Trustpilot score is 2.4 out of 5. The BBB shows 109 complaints over three years, with 101 of those coming in the past 12 months alone — a clear signal that support infrastructure didn’t scale with the platform’s rapid user growth. Of those complaints, 78 were unanswered. Withdrawal delays and frozen accounts are the dominant themes.
To be fair, Reddit feedback is more balanced. Many users report smooth withdrawals via the standard ACH-to-same-bank path. The Trustpilot and BBB data skews toward edge cases and frustrated users. But “smooth in normal cases, potentially painful in edge cases” is still a real risk profile that belongs in a review.
Practical recommendation: Use the same bank account for deposits and withdrawals. Link it at account creation, not later. This avoids the 90-day window entirely.
6. User Experience — 8.0 / 10
The Kalshi app is one of the better-designed financial apps available for iOS or Android. The numbers back this up: 4.7 stars from over 22,000 iOS reviewers, 4.5 stars from 3,100+ Android reviewers. These are large enough samples to be meaningful.
The interface uses a dark navy base with high-contrast text. Markets are presented as plain-language questions with clear Yes/No pricing. New users who have never traded an event contract can understand what they’re looking at without reading a tutorial.
Load times are fast — the home screen appears in under a second from cold start, market pages are near-instant. The web platform is similarly clean.
Two known issues worth flagging: some users report that post-October 2025 updates introduced UI regressions, with less information visible per screen. There are also reported bugs where filled orders continue to display as open until the app is force-closed and reopened. These are annoyances, not blockers — but worth noting for active traders who rely on accurate position display.
7. Deposit & Funding Options — 8.0 / 10
Kalshi supports more deposit methods than most regulated prediction markets:
| Method | Fee | Daily Limit | Availability for Trading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank transfer (ACH) | Free | $10,000 | 2–4 business days |
| Debit card | 2% | $2,500 | Instant |
| Apple Pay / Google Pay | 2% | $2,500 | Instant |
| Wire transfer | Varies | No stated limit | Next business day |
| Crypto (via Zero Hash) | Varies | — | After processing |
Crypto support is a meaningful differentiator — most regulated US prediction markets don’t offer it. The 2% fee on card and mobile pay deposits is the main friction point. For amounts under $100, bank transfer’s 2–4 day wait may be worth avoiding the fee. For larger amounts it almost always is.
8. Tax & Reporting Tools — 5.0 / 10
Kalshi meets the legal minimum for tax reporting, and not much more.
Forms issued:
- 1099-MISC: For net winnings of $600 or more
- 1099-INT: For interest earned on cash balances
- 1099-B: For crypto transactions only
What Kalshi does not issue: a comprehensive 1099-B covering event contract acquisitions, dispositions, cost basis, and annual profit/loss. This means if you’re an active trader, you’re responsible for reconstructing your own gain/loss records at tax time. Kalshi provides a P&L summary in-app (updated on the first of each month), but this is not a tax document and does not substitute for proper basis tracking.
The tax treatment of prediction market winnings is still evolving under IRS guidance. Most CPAs currently treat them as ordinary income or Section 1256 contracts (60/40 long-term/short-term capital gains treatment), but there’s no definitive IRS ruling yet. For more, see our Prediction Market Tax Guide.
The 5.0 score reflects that Kalshi does what it’s legally required to do, but provides none of the tools (CSV export, integrated tax software, trade-level tax lot reporting) that would make tax filing meaningfully easier for active users.
9. Customer Support — 4.0 / 10
This is Kalshi’s weakest category, and the evidence is consistent.
Support channels available: email, in-app chat, and Discord. No phone support. Response times on email and Discord have been reported in the multi-day range by multiple independent sources. The BBB’s record of 78 unanswered complaints — cases where Kalshi simply did not respond — is the clearest evidence of a support function that isn’t resourced to handle complaint volume.
Important context: Kalshi’s fee revenue grew explosively in 2025 (reaching $263.5M, largely driven by sports market adoption). Rapid user growth frequently outpaces support hiring. This doesn’t make the experience better for users who need help, but it does suggest the problem may improve as the company matures.
Reddit feedback is more nuanced — many users report no issues because they never needed support. For routine use (deposit, trade, standard withdrawal), you may never interact with support at all. The risk is when something goes wrong: frozen account, settlement dispute, withdrawal delay. That’s when the support gap becomes a real problem.
Kalshi vs. Competitors
| Kalshi | Polymarket | FanDuel Predicts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PredictionScout Score | 7.4 / 10 | Review pending | Review pending |
| US residents | Yes — all 50 states | No | Varies by state |
| Regulation | CFTC (federal) | Offshore / crypto | State gaming licenses |
| Fund segregation | Yes (required by CFTC) | Smart contract-based | Yes (state regulated) |
| Taker fee | ~1.75% at 50¢ contracts | ~2% taker fee | ~5–10% margin |
| Market breadth | Widest (regulated US) | Wide (global, unregulated) | Sports-focused |
| Crypto deposits | Yes (via Zero Hash) | Native (USDC) | No |
| App rating (iOS) | 4.7 / 5 | — | — |
Full reviews: Polymarket Review | FanDuel Predicts Review
Side-by-side: Kalshi vs. Polymarket | Best Prediction Market Platforms 2026
The Bottom Line
Kalshi earns a 7.4 because it genuinely delivers where it matters most: regulatory protection, fund safety, and market breadth. For a US resident who wants to trade on elections, Fed decisions, sports championships, or cultural events — with federally-segregated funds and full legal clarity — there is no better-regulated option available.
The score isn’t higher because the operational experience doesn’t match the regulatory strength. Withdrawals are slow, the 90-day rule for different-bank transfers is a real trap for new users, and customer support has a documented pattern of non-responsiveness that the company hasn’t yet fixed.
If you’re opening your first prediction market account and you’re a US resident, Kalshi is the right starting point. Go in with realistic expectations about withdrawal timing and use bank transfer for deposits.
Common Questions
Is Kalshi safe?
From a regulatory and fund safety standpoint, yes — it’s the most protected option available to US traders. CFTC oversight, fund segregation, and a registered clearing organization mean your money has structural protections that offshore platforms can’t match. The support and withdrawal issues are operational weaknesses, not solvency risks.
How long do Kalshi withdrawals take?
ACH withdrawal to the same bank you deposited from: approximately 7 business days. ACH to a different bank: up to 90 days. Debit card withdrawal: approximately 3 business days after the deposit clearing window. Wire transfers are faster but have their own fees. Use the same bank account for deposits and withdrawals to avoid the 90-day window.
What fees does Kalshi charge?
Trading fees follow the formula: 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 − price) for takers, and 0.0175 for makers. At a 50¢ contract, the taker fee is roughly 1.75¢ per contract. There’s also a 2% surcharge on debit card and Apple/Google Pay deposits. Bank transfer deposits are free.
Does Kalshi work in all US states?
Kalshi is federally regulated and available to residents of all 50 states. However, as of January 2026, sports-specific markets are geofenced for Massachusetts residents due to a state court injunction. All other market categories remain available in Massachusetts.
How does Kalshi handle taxes?
Kalshi issues a 1099-MISC for net winnings of $600 or more and a 1099-INT for interest income. It does not issue a comprehensive 1099-B for event contract P&L. Active traders need to track their own gains and losses. See our Prediction Market Tax Guide for full guidance.
Is Kalshi better than Polymarket?
Depends on who you are. Kalshi is the right choice for US residents who want federal regulatory protection and a wide regulated market selection. Polymarket is better for crypto-native users, non-US residents, and traders who prioritize tighter spreads and deeper global liquidity. Polymarket is not available to US residents. Full comparison: Kalshi vs. Polymarket.