PredictionScout Score: 6.4 / 10
FanDuel Predicts is the most accessible entry point into regulated US prediction markets. It launched December 22, 2025, through a joint venture with CME Group, and reached all 50 states for financial markets by January 15, 2026 — faster national rollout than any competing platform. For sports bettors who already know the FanDuel brand and want to try event contracts without learning a new ecosystem, it’s the path of least resistance.
That accessibility comes with real trade-offs. FanDuel Predicts has no politics markets — the highest-traffic category on competing platforms. Sports markets are restricted to 18 states. The 2% flat fee is simpler to understand than Kalshi’s formula but consistently more expensive. The app has fewer than 200 reviews because it has only existed for two months. And there is no web trading interface — mobile only.
The score reflects what FanDuel Predicts is today: a well-designed but narrow platform that excels at onboarding mainstream users and needs another year of development to compete with established prediction exchanges on market depth, selection, and cost.
Last updated: March 2026 | Scoring basis: Public fee schedules, CME Group regulatory filings, App Store reviews, Reddit community discussions, and third-party fee analysis. See our full methodology.
Quick Facts
| Launched | December 22, 2025 (national rollout completed January 15, 2026) |
| Parent company | FanDuel Group / Flutter Entertainment (NYSE: FLUT) — joint venture with CME Group |
| Regulatory structure | CFTC-regulated — FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC is a registered FCM/NFA member; contracts listed on CME Group’s CFTC-registered DCM |
| Available to US residents | Financial markets: all 50 states. Sports markets: 18 states (states where FanDuel does not operate a sportsbook) |
| Minimum deposit | $10 (standard methods); $2,000 (wire transfer) |
| Trading fee | 2% of potential payout, flat — no maker/taker distinction |
| Deposit methods | Debit card, ACH bank transfer, PayPal, Venmo, Apple Pay, PayNearMe, wire transfer, FanDuel Play+ card |
| Withdrawal time | PayPal/Venmo: 24–48 hours; ACH: 2–5 business days; check: 7–10 days |
| Web platform | No — mobile app only (iOS and Android) |
| App ratings | 4.4 iOS (166 reviews) / ~3.8 Android (limited reviews) — very early data, December 2025 launch |
Who FanDuel Predicts Is Best For
- Existing FanDuel users who want to try prediction markets with a familiar brand and account structure
- Sports bettors in non-sportsbook states — California, Texas, Florida, and Georgia residents who can’t legally bet on sports can trade sports event contracts here
- Financial market traders who want to trade S&P 500, Fed rate, or macroeconomic outcomes with simple binary contracts and broad state availability
- Beginners who find Kalshi’s interface or market variety overwhelming — FanDuel Predicts is built around simplicity
Who Should Look Elsewhere
- Politics traders — FanDuel Predicts has no election or political markets. Kalshi is the platform for this
- Sports market traders in sportsbook states — if FanDuel operates a sportsbook where you live, you can only access financial markets, not sports contracts
- Active traders who are fee-sensitive — the 2% flat fee is consistently more expensive than Kalshi’s formula at mid-range and high-probability contracts
- Traders who want a web interface — desktop trading is not available; mobile-only is a genuine limitation
- Anyone who needs established liquidity — two months post-launch means thin order books in anything outside the most popular markets
Score Breakdown
| Category | Weight | Score | Weighted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regulatory Status & Fund Safety | 20% | 7.0 | 1.40 |
| Market Selection | 15% | 5.5 | 0.83 |
| Fees & Costs | 15% | 6.5 | 0.98 |
| Liquidity & Execution | 15% | 6.0 | 0.90 |
| User Experience | 10% | 7.0 | 0.70 |
| Withdrawal Experience | 10% | 6.5 | 0.65 |
| Deposit & Funding Options | 5% | 8.5 | 0.43 |
| Tax & Reporting Tools | 5% | 5.5 | 0.28 |
| Customer Support | 5% | 5.0 | 0.25 |
| Composite Score | 100% | 6.40 / 10 |
Category-by-Category Analysis
1. Regulatory Status & Fund Safety — 7.0 / 10
FanDuel Predicts is federally regulated, but through a different structure than Kalshi — and the distinction matters.
Kalshi holds its own CFTC Designated Contract Market (DCM) license and its own Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) registration. Customer funds are segregated under Commodity Exchange Act rules. FanDuel Predicts does not have its own DCM. Instead, event contracts are listed on CME Group’s existing CFTC-registered exchanges, and FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC operates as a registered Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) and National Futures Association member. You trade on CME’s infrastructure through FanDuel’s interface.
This structure is legitimate CFTC oversight — CME Group is the most heavily regulated derivatives exchange in the world — but it creates a different regulatory relationship. As an FCM, FanDuel’s customer fund protections are real but operate under a different framework than a DCM/DCO. The arrangement is more analogous to using a brokerage that clears through an exchange than owning a seat on the exchange itself.
The score reflects solid CFTC coverage with a structural caveat. For a mainstream retail user, the practical difference from Kalshi is small. For sophisticated traders who think carefully about counterparty risk, it’s worth understanding.
One regulatory context point worth noting: FanDuel resigned from the American Gaming Association in November 2025 and surrendered its Nevada gaming license rather than comply with Nevada’s position that prediction markets conflict with state gaming law. The federal preemption argument — that CFTC-regulated contracts override state gambling statutes — is still unresolved as of March 2026. This creates ongoing uncertainty specifically around sports markets in states that have contested jurisdiction. For financial/commodities markets, all 50 states have accepted the federal framework.
2. Market Selection — 5.5 / 10
This is the most significant gap between FanDuel Predicts and its main competitors, and it matters for the majority of prediction market traders.
FanDuel Predicts offers markets in:
- Sports: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, college football/basketball — game outcomes, spreads, totals, major championships
- Financial markets: S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, gold, oil, CPI, Fed interest rates, GDP
- Cryptocurrency: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and others
What is absent: politics. No presidential elections, no Congressional races, no gubernatorial outcomes. No entertainment markets. No science or tech milestones. No international events. The election market category — which drove the majority of volume and new user signups on Kalshi and Polymarket in 2024 and 2025 — is not available here.
The sports access restriction compounds this. If you live in one of the 32 states where FanDuel operates a sportsbook (New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Colorado, and most other large states), you cannot trade sports contracts. Financial markets only. The 18 states where sports contracts are available are the states FanDuel chose to prioritize as a market-entry vehicle ahead of potential sportsbook legalization — California, Texas, Florida, Georgia, and others. If you’re in those states, the sports offering is genuinely useful. If you’re not, FanDuel Predicts’ market selection is limited to financial and crypto contracts.
No official total market count has been published. Based on the categories above, the active market count is likely in the 50–100 range — smaller than Kalshi’s listed total, though market-for-market comparisons are difficult given the structural differences in what each platform offers.
The expectation is that selection will expand. The CME partnership gives FanDuel regulatory flexibility to add categories as the CFTC landscape clarifies. For now, the score reflects what exists, not what’s planned.
3. Fees & Costs — 6.5 / 10
FanDuel Predicts charges a flat 2% of potential payout on every trade. This is simpler than Kalshi’s probability-weighted formula — there’s no math required, no formula to look up. The cost is transparent and easy to calculate at order placement.
The simplicity advantage is real. The cost disadvantage is also real. Compared to Kalshi’s taker fee formula (0.07 × contracts × price × (1−price)), FanDuel’s 2% of payout is more expensive in most scenarios:
| Scenario ($100 position) | Kalshi Fee | FanDuel Predicts Fee |
|---|---|---|
| 76¢ contract (76% odds) | ~$1.65 | ~$2.56 |
| 50¢ contract (50/50 odds) | ~$3.51 | ~$4.00 |
| 90¢ contract (90% odds) | ~$0.63 | ~$2.00 |
The gap is widest at high-probability contracts — markets where the outcome is considered near-certain. At 90¢, Kalshi charges roughly 0.7% while FanDuel charges 2%. This is a meaningful difference for traders who primarily trade high-confidence positions.
FanDuel charges no deposit fees and no withdrawal fees from its side (your bank may charge for ACH or wire). No inactivity fees. No account maintenance fees. The 2% fee is also applied at early cash-out if you exit a position before settlement.
No deposit fees is a genuine advantage over Kalshi, which charges 2% on card and mobile pay deposits. If you fund via ACH and accept the wait, Kalshi’s deposit is free too — but FanDuel’s zero-fee policy applies to all deposit methods regardless.
4. Liquidity & Execution — 6.0 / 10
FanDuel Predicts launched December 22, 2025. At the time of this review, the platform is approximately ten weeks old. That context is essential for evaluating liquidity.
In its highest-volume markets — major sports events in the 18 sports-eligible states, S&P 500 and Fed rate contracts — execution is reported as acceptable by early reviewers. Order fills in line with displayed prices, spreads that work for retail-sized positions. Outside those top markets, the picture is less consistent. Multiple early reviewers noted thin order books and variable execution on less popular financial contracts.
This is expected for a two-month-old platform. Liquidity takes time to accumulate. The CME Group infrastructure provides a credible foundation — CME runs the world’s largest futures exchange and has experience building institutional liquidity. The question is whether retail-scale prediction market liquidity develops on the FanDuel Predicts platform specifically, or whether traders discover that Kalshi’s more established order books serve them better for the overlapping categories (financial markets, some sports).
Kalshi’s January 2026 download count surpassed DraftKings’ and FanDuel Sportsbook’s combined monthly downloads — an unusual data point that suggests Kalshi is attracting users faster than FanDuel Predicts at the moment. Volume follows users, and volume creates liquidity. The trajectory here is uncertain enough to hold the score at 6.0.
Practical guidance for current users: larger positions in major sports and index markets should fill reasonably. Keep position sizes modest in less active financial contracts until order book depth is demonstrably established.
5. User Experience — 7.0 / 10
The interface is FanDuel Predicts’ strongest calling card. Multiple independent reviewers describe it as the most intuitive of the major US prediction market platforms — easier to navigate than Kalshi, far simpler than Polymarket.
The design logic is clear: contracts are presented as binary Yes/No questions with a dollar-per-contract price between $0.01 and $0.99. The implied probability is the price itself — a contract at 74¢ means the market assigns 74% probability to the Yes outcome. There are no order books visible by default, no Greek letters, no jargon. The UI presents prediction markets the way DraftKings presents parlays: clean, fast, tap to trade.
This works well for the target audience. Experienced traders might find the simplified interface limiting — Kalshi offers more visible market depth, limit orders with finer controls, and a web platform for desktop workflows. FanDuel Predicts is mobile-only, which is a real gap for traders who prefer desktop analysis.
The app ratings are promising but based on thin samples. The iOS app launched in late December 2025 and has 166 reviews at 4.4 stars. The Android app has fewer reviews and a lower initial rating (~3.8). Both numbers will shift significantly as the user base grows. The main FanDuel Sportsbook app has a 4.9 iOS rating from hundreds of thousands of reviews — the brand knows how to build mobile UX, and FanDuel Predicts benefits from that institutional knowledge, but the track record for this specific product is still forming.
The mobile-only constraint is the primary reason this score stays at 7.0 rather than 8.0. Serious traders work across devices. Analysts want spreadsheets and browser tabs open alongside their trading interface. A web platform is not optional for competing with Kalshi long-term.
6. Withdrawal Experience — 6.5 / 10
FanDuel Predicts offers better withdrawal speed than Kalshi, primarily because it supports PayPal and Venmo as withdrawal methods — methods that Kalshi doesn’t offer.
Withdrawal timelines from FanDuel Predicts:
- PayPal / Venmo: 24–48 hours after the withdrawal request
- ACH bank transfer: 2–5 business days
- Debit card: similar to ACH
- Check: 7–10 days
The settlement-to-available-balance step adds 1–2 business days before you can initiate a withdrawal. Total time from contract resolution to money in your bank account: approximately 3–7 business days via digital methods, depending on whether you use PayPal or ACH.
This compares favorably to Kalshi’s 7-business-day standard ACH window and 90-day window for ACH to a different bank. FanDuel Predicts doesn’t appear to have an equivalent 90-day edge case, at least not documented publicly.
The caveat: this is a platform that has existed for ten weeks. The withdrawal experiences reported so far reflect a small, early user base. The FanDuel brand’s overall Trustpilot score is 1.2 out of 5 — but those reviews overwhelmingly reflect the sportsbook product, not prediction markets, and are driven by account suspensions and payout disputes in the gambling context. Whether the prediction markets product inherits those operational problems or operates independently is not yet known.
The 6.5 score reflects solid documented timelines with meaningful uncertainty about edge case handling for a new platform.
7. Deposit & Funding Options — 8.5 / 10
FanDuel Predicts has the widest deposit method selection of any major US prediction market platform. This is a direct benefit of the FanDuel brand’s years of operating in regulated US gambling markets.
| Method | Fee | Minimum | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debit card | None | $10 | Visa/Mastercard; instant availability |
| ACH bank transfer | None | $10 | 2–4 business days to available |
| PayPal | None | $10 | Debit-funded only; credit cards removed March 2026 |
| Venmo | None | $10 | Debit-funded only |
| Apple Pay | None | $10 | Debit-funded only |
| PayNearMe | None | $10 | Cash at participating retail locations |
| Wire transfer | Bank-side fees | $2,000 | Next business day |
| FanDuel Play+ card | None | $10 | FanDuel-specific prepaid card |
No deposit fees from FanDuel’s side on any method — this is a genuine advantage over Kalshi, which charges 2% on card and mobile pay deposits. PayNearMe support (cash deposits at retail locations) is an unusual inclusion that expands access to users without traditional banking relationships.
One note: As of March 2026, FanDuel is removing credit card deposit support across all products platform-wide, including cards connected through PayPal, Venmo, and Apple Pay. Debit card funding through those methods remains accepted. This change applies to FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Predicts simultaneously.
8. Tax & Reporting Tools — 5.5 / 10
FanDuel Predicts operates as a registered Futures Commission Merchant under CFTC jurisdiction. FCMs are required by law to report certain transactions to the IRS, and FanDuel’s parent company Flutter operates in regulated financial and gambling markets globally — tax compliance is not optional for them.
However, at the time of this review, no public documentation exists confirming that FanDuel Predicts issues 1099 forms or provides a structured tax export tool. The platform launched in December 2025, and the first tax season under which trades will need to be reported is 2026. It is likely that formal tax documentation procedures will be published before end of year, but they do not exist as a tested feature today.
What is available: the app shows a transaction history of settled contracts. Whether that history is exportable in a format compatible with tax software is unconfirmed.
This score will almost certainly increase in a future review once the tax documentation situation is clarified. For now, if tax reporting is a key consideration for you, Kalshi’s documented 1099 procedures and transaction export tools are the safer choice.
9. Customer Support — 5.0 / 10
No meaningful FanDuel Predicts-specific support data exists yet. The platform is ten weeks old with a small user base. The app store reviews that reference support experiences are single-digit in number.
The broader FanDuel brand’s support reputation is poor. The combined FanDuel Trustpilot profile sits at 1.2 out of 5 stars from 868 reviews, with 92% rated 1 star. These reviews are dominated by FanDuel Sportsbook complaints — account suspensions, payout disputes, and scripted customer service responses — not prediction market issues. But they reflect how the parent organization handles support at scale when things go wrong.
Whether FanDuel Predicts operates as a genuinely separate support operation or inherits the sportsbook’s support culture will become clear over the next 6–12 months as the user base grows and edge cases accumulate. The 5.0 score is a placeholder that reflects the absence of positive evidence, not confirmed problems. It will be updated when sufficient data exists.
The Bottom Line
FanDuel Predicts is the right first move for one specific type of user: the mainstream American sports bettor in California, Texas, Florida, or another state where sports betting isn’t yet legal, who wants to bet on games through a brand they already trust. For that person, no competing platform offers what FanDuel Predicts does — familiar UX, all 50 state availability for financial markets, sports access in locked-out states, and the easiest on-ramp in the category.
For everyone else, the comparison with Kalshi is close but Kalshi wins on the criteria that matter most to active traders: deeper market selection (especially politics), lower fees at mid-range probabilities, a web interface, and an established order book. If you’re a prediction market enthusiast choosing a primary platform, Kalshi is still the benchmark.
FanDuel Predicts is two months old. The backing (Flutter’s capital, CME’s infrastructure) is serious. The gaps are real but closeable. Check back in 12 months — a politics market expansion and a web platform would meaningfully change this score.
Compare platforms: Kalshi vs. FanDuel Predicts: Full Comparison