As of October 24, 2026, Nithya Raman is the favorite in the Los Angeles Mayoral Election market, leading at an implied probability of about 54% (54¢ per contract on Polymarket). Live prices below are pulled directly from Polymarket.
LA Mayor Odds on Polymarket
| Candidate | Implied probability | Price | Bid / Ask |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman | 54% | 54¢ | 54¢ / 55¢ |
| Karen Bass | 46% | 46¢ | 45¢ / 46¢ |
Source: Polymarket — Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
About This Market
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in…
How to Trade This Market
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated, all 50 states for political markets) and Polymarket (lowest fees, iOS in 49 states) both offer event markets; see our head-to-head comparison or run your trade through the fee calculator before placing it. New to event contracts? Start with how prediction markets work.
Common Questions
Who is favored to win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election market?
As of October 24, 2026, Nithya Raman is the favorite: prediction markets give it an implied probability of about 54% (a 54¢ contract on Polymarket). Prices move constantly as traders buy and sell; the tables on this page show the latest synced prices.
Where can I trade the LA Mayor market?
This market trades on Polymarket. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available in all 50 states for political markets; Polymarket US is open to iOS users in 49 states. See our platform reviews for fees and details.
How do prediction market odds work?
Contracts pay $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it does not, so the price is the market’s implied probability: a 62¢ contract means traders collectively price a 62% chance. Odds come from real money changing hands, not from polls or pundits.
Prices synced October 24, 2026 from public Kalshi and Polymarket market data. Odds move constantly; check the exchange for execution prices. This page is informational — not investment advice. PredictionScout may earn commissions from platform links; see our affiliate disclosure. More markets: all live odds pages.