As of September 9, 2026, The Pitt is favored in the Emmys: Best Drama Series market, at an implied probability of about 94% (94¢ per contract on Kalshi). Live prices below are pulled directly from Kalshi.
Emmys Best Drama Odds on Kalshi
| Nominee | Implied probability | Price | Bid / Ask |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Pitt | 94% | 94¢ | 94¢ / 95¢ |
| Pluribus | 6.0% | 6¢ | 4¢ / 6¢ |
| Slow Horses | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| The Diplomat | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| Paradise | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| The Gilded Age | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| Tie | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| Your Friends & Neighbors | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
Rows marked “no bid” have no buyer at any price. Their listed price is the exchange’s one-cent floor, not a one-percent chance.
Where Emmys Best Drama Odds Have Been
The Pitt last closed at 95% (Sep 9, 2026). That is +5 points since Aug 10, 2026 (90%). Since Apr 11, 2026, the earliest daily price we track for this market, it has moved +30 points from 65%.
| Date | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | 65% |
| May 23, 2026 | 71% |
| Jun 27, 2026 | 67% |
| Jul 26, 2026 | 88% |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 90% |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 95% |
Across that period the market ranged from a low of 61% on Jul 1, 2026 to a high of 96% on Aug 8, 2026. Prices are daily closes from Kalshi.
Prediction Market Prices vs Sportsbook Odds
Sportsbooks like DraftKings, FanDuel, and ESPN BET quote American odds (+450, −200) that include the house’s built-in margin, and expert odds lists update on their own schedule. Prediction market prices are different: they are tradable implied probabilities set peer-to-peer, with no bookmaker line to beat, and you can sell your position before the winner is announced. To compare: a 25¢ contract is roughly +300 in American odds.
About This Market
If The Pitt has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to Trade This Market
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated, all 50 states for political markets) and Polymarket (lowest fees, iOS in 49 states) both offer event markets; see our head-to-head comparison or run your trade through the fee calculator before placing it. New to event contracts? Start with how prediction markets work.
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Common Questions
Who is favored to win the Emmys: Best Drama Series market?
As of September 9, 2026, The Pitt is favored, at an implied probability of about 94% (a 94¢ contract on Kalshi). Prices move constantly as traders buy and sell; the tables on this page show the latest synced prices.
Where can I trade the Emmys Best Drama market?
This market trades on Kalshi. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available in all 50 states for political markets; Polymarket US is open to iOS users in 49 states. See our platform reviews for fees and details.
How do prediction market odds work?
Contracts pay $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it does not, so the price is the market’s implied probability: a 62¢ contract means traders collectively price a 62% chance. Odds come from real money changing hands, not from polls or pundits.
Prices synced September 9, 2026 from public Kalshi and Polymarket market data by Arthur Angelo. Odds move constantly; check the exchange for execution prices. This page is informational — not investment advice. PredictionScout may earn commissions from platform links; see our affiliate disclosure. More markets: all live odds pages.