As of September 9, 2026, Widow's Bay is favored in the Emmys: Best Comedy Series market, at an implied probability of about 84% (84¢ per contract on Kalshi). Live prices below are pulled directly from Kalshi.
Emmys Best Comedy Odds on Kalshi
| Nominee | Implied probability | Price | Bid / Ask |
|---|---|---|---|
| Widow's Bay | 84% | 84¢ | 83¢ / 85¢ |
| Hacks | 17% | 17¢ | 15¢ / 17¢ |
| Only Murders in the Building | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| Shrinking | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| Abbott Elementary | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| The Bear | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| Nobody Wants This | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| Margo's Got Money Troubles | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
| Tie | no bid | 1¢ | <1¢ / 1¢ |
Rows marked “no bid” have no buyer at any price. Their listed price is the exchange’s one-cent floor, not a one-percent chance.
Where Emmys Best Comedy Odds Have Been
Widow's Bay last closed at 85% (Sep 9, 2026). That is +29 points since Aug 10, 2026 (56%). Since Jun 18, 2026, the earliest daily price we track for this market, it has moved +59 points from 26%.
| Date | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | 26% |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 45% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 42% |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 58% |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 58% |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 85% |
Across that period the market ranged from a low of 26% on Jun 18, 2026 to a high of 85% on Sep 8, 2026. Prices are daily closes from Kalshi.
Prediction Market Prices vs Sportsbook Odds
Sportsbooks like DraftKings, FanDuel, and ESPN BET quote American odds (+450, −200) that include the house’s built-in margin, and expert odds lists update on their own schedule. Prediction market prices are different: they are tradable implied probabilities set peer-to-peer, with no bookmaker line to beat, and you can sell your position before the winner is announced. To compare: a 25¢ contract is roughly +300 in American odds.
About This Market
If Only Murders in the Building has won Outstanding Comedy Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to Trade This Market
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated, all 50 states for political markets) and Polymarket (lowest fees, iOS in 49 states) both offer event markets; see our head-to-head comparison or run your trade through the fee calculator before placing it. New to event contracts? Start with how prediction markets work.
More Awards & Culture Odds
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Common Questions
Who is favored to win the Emmys: Best Comedy Series market?
As of September 9, 2026, Widow's Bay is favored, at an implied probability of about 84% (a 84¢ contract on Kalshi). Prices move constantly as traders buy and sell; the tables on this page show the latest synced prices.
Where can I trade the Emmys Best Comedy market?
This market trades on Kalshi. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available in all 50 states for political markets; Polymarket US is open to iOS users in 49 states. See our platform reviews for fees and details.
How do prediction market odds work?
Contracts pay $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it does not, so the price is the market’s implied probability: a 62¢ contract means traders collectively price a 62% chance. Odds come from real money changing hands, not from polls or pundits.
Prices synced September 9, 2026 from public Kalshi and Polymarket market data by Arthur Angelo. Odds move constantly; check the exchange for execution prices. This page is informational — not investment advice. PredictionScout may earn commissions from platform links; see our affiliate disclosure. More markets: all live odds pages.